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The altcoin market continues to exhibit a steady decline, causing concern among members of the cryptocurrency community. According to various analysts, including an expert nicknamed NoLimit, the current price decline is not due to a retreat from retail investors. Instead, pressure on the market is being generated by structural factors related to funding dynamics and the use of leverage.
Reasons for the Decline in Altcoin Prices
The expert explained that in recent weeks, altcoin funding rates have become sharply positive, indicating the dominance of long positions in the market. At the same time, the total number of open trades has increased, leading to increased leverage and the accumulation of excess risk. In such a situation, the market doesn't require negative news to trigger a decline.
Chain Reaction of Liquidations
The researcher noted that a small price pullback is sufficient to trigger a chain reaction of liquidations. Overextended long positions are beginning to be forcibly closed, increasing pressure on prices. As a result, stop orders are triggered, and spot holders react with a delay, leading to a repeat of the forced selling process.
"Current data confirms precisely this scenario. Open interest in the market is beginning to decline, and long positions are being liquidated at an aggressive pace. At the same time, there are virtually no active buyers in the spot market. Excess leverage is gradually being flushed out of the system," the researcher stated.
The Need to Reduce Leverage
According to the expert, reducing leverage is seen as a necessary stage in the market cycle. Sustainable growth is impossible when the majority of the market is already in long positions. Imbalanced positioning creates vulnerability to even minor price movements. Clearing out excessive positions reduces systemic risks and promotes more stable market development.
Historical Context
Historically, similar processes have preceded more stable periods in the cryptocurrency market. Reducing leverage and liquidating excess positions could pave the way for a new uptrend, with market participants becoming more cautious and balanced in their investment decisions.
In Conclusion
Thus, the current decline in altcoin prices is the result of structural factors related to increasing leverage and the dominance of long positions. Clearing excess leverage could lead to a more stable and sustainable market in the future. Investors should closely monitor market dynamics and be prepared for possible changes in volatile conditions.
