Does China Know Bitcoin’s Bull and Bear Cycles in Advance? A Major Claim – Here Are the Details

China has taken a hardline stance against cryptocurrencies for years, and its regulations directly impact global price fluctuations associated with the four-year cycle of Bitcoin (BTC). From 2013 to 2025, the country passed a series of regulations that defined the legal status of cryptoassets and their place in the financial system.

Bitcoin Regulation in China: A Timeline

2013: First Steps Toward Regulation

In December 2013, five ministries, led by the People's Bank of China (PBOC), issued a joint statement that provided the first comprehensive definition of cryptocurrency in the country. The document was titled "Warning on Risks Related to Bitcoin." The statement clearly stated that Bitcoin is not a currency or legal tender, and financial institutions cannot provide Bitcoin-related services. This move marked the first systematic restriction on cryptocurrency use in China.

2017: ICO Ban

In September 2017, seven ministries jointly issued a statement titled "Warning on the Risks of Token Financing." This decision completely banned all ICOs in the country, required project teams to return all funds raised, and designated cryptocurrency exchanges as illegal funding platforms. This move, known as the "94 Incident," shook global markets and brought an end to the ICO era in China.

2021: The Most Aggressive Step

The declaration, signed by ten government agencies in September 2021, was considered China's most aggressive regulatory move to date. It classified all cryptocurrency transactions and services as illegal financial activities. Cryptocurrency mining was also strengthened, which also had a significant impact on the market.

2025: Expectations and Forecasts

According to current forecasts, China may further tighten its cryptocurrency regulations in 2025. This could lead to further price fluctuations for Bitcoin and other crypto assets as the market continues to react to the actions of Chinese authorities.

Impact on Global Markets

Each of these regulatory steps has had a significant impact on global cryptocurrency markets. China's tightening of regulations has often led to sharp price drops for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, highlighting the importance of Chinese policies for investors and traders worldwide.

In Conclusion

China undoubtedly plays a key role in shaping cryptocurrency market dynamics. Its regular regulatory changes can anticipate Bitcoin's bullish and bearish cycles, making its actions an important indicator for market participants. Investors should closely monitor new initiatives and policy changes in China to better understand potential future cryptocurrency price fluctuations.