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A new study published by CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju has once again drawn attention to the significant divergence between cryptocurrency market prices and their fundamental valuations. According to Ju, nine out of 12 widely used models show Ether (ETH) currently trading significantly below its potential value.
Ether's Fair Price
According to calculations, the consolidated fair price of Ether is approximately $4,836, which is approximately 58% above the current market level. Ju noted that most of the models used in the study were developed by professionals working in academic research and traditional finance and are highly reliable. This underscores the importance of applying scientific approaches to cryptocurrency valuation.
ETHval's Valuation
Simultaneously, the analytics platform ETHval released its own assessment. According to their data, Ether, at a price just above $3,000, also remains significantly undervalued. The App Capital model, which takes into account the entire Ethereum ecosystem, determined the fair value of Ether at $4,918. This supports the view that ETH's current price does not reflect its true value.
Metcalfe's Model and Network Effect
A model based on Metcalfe's Law predicts an Ether price of approximately $9,484. This is explained by the high network effect and user activity, which continue to increase the value of the Ethereum ecosystem. ETH's valuation, taking into account the total value locked in second-layer ecosystems, also points to undervaluation, suggesting a fair price of approximately $4,633.
Pessimistic Forecasts
However, not all models paint such an optimistic picture. The Revenue Yield method, which analyzes the ratio of network revenue to staking returns, shows Ether to be significantly overvalued at a current price above $3,000. According to this model, the fair price should be around $1,296. Experts attribute this result to declining fees on the Ethereum network and increasing competition from other blockchains, which are gradually taking over some of the Ethereum network's transaction activity.
In Conclusion
Thus, despite the differences in valuations, most experts agree that Ethereum remains undervalued. Given the various models and valuation approaches, investors may consider investing in Ethereum given its potential for future growth.
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